Estimated return — disclosed long book

What Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust’s US-listed long positions did, derived from the share counts and market values in consecutive 13F filings, shown against SPY over exactly the same quarters. This is not the fund’s return. A 13F excludes shorts, bonds, cash, non-US listings and derivatives, says nothing about fees or leverage, and only sees positions held at both quarter ends. The fund figure is a price return while SPY is a total return, so the comparison is tilted against the manager by roughly a dividend yield.

Q1 2026
+4.6%
SPY -4.4% +9.0%
By calendar year
YearEstimatedSPYDifference
2025+15.2%+17.7%-2.6%
2024+9.5%+24.9%-15.4%
2023+24.6%+26.2%-1.5%
2022-5.8%-18.2%+12.4%
2021+20.9%+28.7%-7.8%
2020+9.7%+18.3%-8.7%
2019+15.9%+31.2%-15.3%
2018-0.0%-4.6%+4.5%
2017+25.1%+21.7%+3.4%
2016+19.0%+12.0%+7.0%
2015-12.7%+1.2%-13.9%
20142/4 Q+8.9%+6.1%+2.8%

Years marked n/4 Qare built from fewer than four quarters, and the benchmark shown beside them covers the same partial set — so the difference is like-for-like, but the year is not a full year.