Estimated return — disclosed long book

What Bill Smead’s US-listed long positions did, derived from the share counts and market values in consecutive 13F filings, shown against SPY over exactly the same quarters. This is not the fund’s return. A 13F excludes shorts, bonds, cash, non-US listings and derivatives, says nothing about fees or leverage, and only sees positions held at both quarter ends. The fund figure is a price return while SPY is a total return, so the comparison is tilted against the manager by roughly a dividend yield.

Q2 2026
+6.3%
SPY +15.1% -8.8%
2026 YTD(2Q so far)
+16.1%
SPY +10.1% +6.0%
By calendar year
YearEstimatedSPYDifference
2025+4.3%+17.7%-13.5%
2024+3.5%+24.9%-21.4%
2023+16.4%+26.2%-9.8%
2022-2.4%-18.2%+15.7%
2021+39.0%+28.7%+10.2%
2020+6.5%+18.3%-11.8%
2019+27.6%+31.2%-3.6%
2018-5.8%-4.6%-1.2%
2017+24.4%+21.7%+2.7%
2016+26.5%+12.0%+14.5%
2015-20.9%+1.2%-22.2%
20142/4 Q+4.5%+6.1%-1.5%

Years marked n/4 Qare built from fewer than four quarters, and the benchmark shown beside them covers the same partial set — so the difference is like-for-like, but the year is not a full year.