Estimated return — disclosed long book

What Stephen Mandel Jr.’s US-listed long positions did, derived from the share counts and market values in consecutive 13F filings, shown against SPY over exactly the same quarters. This is not the fund’s return. A 13F excludes shorts, bonds, cash, non-US listings and derivatives, says nothing about fees or leverage, and only sees positions held at both quarter ends. The fund figure is a price return while SPY is a total return, so the comparison is tilted against the manager by roughly a dividend yield.

Q1 2026
-6.4%
SPY -4.4% -2.0%
By calendar year
YearEstimatedSPYDifference
2025+25.0%+17.7%+7.3%
2024+51.3%+24.9%+26.4%
2023+36.7%+26.2%+10.5%
20223/4 Q-10.0%-2.5%-7.5%
2021+9.1%+28.7%-19.6%
2020+61.3%+18.3%+43.0%
2019+46.2%+31.2%+15.0%
2018-0.0%-4.6%+4.6%
20173/4 Q+22.0%+14.9%+7.1%
2016+4.1%+12.0%-7.9%
2015+4.3%+1.2%+3.1%
20142/4 Q+8.1%+6.1%+2.0%

Years marked n/4 Qare built from fewer than four quarters, and the benchmark shown beside them covers the same partial set — so the difference is like-for-like, but the year is not a full year.