Estimated return — disclosed long book

What Semper Augustus Investments Group LLC’s US-listed long positions did, derived from the share counts and market values in consecutive 13F filings, shown against SPY over exactly the same quarters. This is not the fund’s return. A 13F excludes shorts, bonds, cash, non-US listings and derivatives, says nothing about fees or leverage, and only sees positions held at both quarter ends. The fund figure is a price return while SPY is a total return, so the comparison is tilted against the manager by roughly a dividend yield.

Q1 2026
+4.1%
SPY -4.4% +8.5%
By calendar year
YearEstimatedSPYDifference
2025+38.7%+17.7%+21.0%
2024+10.3%+24.9%-14.6%
2023+8.3%+26.2%-17.8%
2022-0.3%-18.2%+17.8%
2021+23.5%+28.7%-5.3%
2020+11.1%+18.3%-7.2%
2019+22.1%+31.2%-9.1%
2018+1.3%-4.6%+5.9%
2017+10.5%+21.7%-11.2%
2016+22.5%+12.0%+10.6%
2015-10.6%+1.2%-11.8%
20142/4 Q+1.3%+6.1%-4.8%

Years marked n/4 Qare built from fewer than four quarters, and the benchmark shown beside them covers the same partial set — so the difference is like-for-like, but the year is not a full year.