Estimated return — disclosed long book

What Bill Ackman’s US-listed long positions did, derived from the share counts and market values in consecutive 13F filings, shown against SPY over exactly the same quarters. This is not the fund’s return. A 13F excludes shorts, bonds, cash, non-US listings and derivatives, says nothing about fees or leverage, and only sees positions held at both quarter ends. The fund figure is a price return while SPY is a total return, so the comparison is tilted against the manager by roughly a dividend yield.

Q1 2026
-9.9%
SPY -4.4% -5.5%
By calendar year
YearEstimatedSPYDifference
2025+6.5%+17.7%-11.2%
2024+11.5%+24.9%-13.4%
2023+29.9%+26.2%+3.7%
2022+6.8%-18.2%+25.0%
20213/4 Q+21.5%+15.9%+5.6%
2020+20.4%+18.3%+2.1%
20193/4 Q+48.5%+29.0%+19.5%
2018+1.5%-4.6%+6.1%
2017+9.2%+21.7%-12.5%
2016-5.9%+12.0%-17.9%
20153/4 Q-23.9%+0.4%-24.2%
20142/4 Q+13.3%+6.1%+7.2%

Years marked n/4 Qare built from fewer than four quarters, and the benchmark shown beside them covers the same partial set — so the difference is like-for-like, but the year is not a full year.