Estimated return — disclosed long book

What Daniel Loeb’s US-listed long positions did, derived from the share counts and market values in consecutive 13F filings, shown against SPY over exactly the same quarters. This is not the fund’s return. A 13F excludes shorts, bonds, cash, non-US listings and derivatives, says nothing about fees or leverage, and only sees positions held at both quarter ends. The fund figure is a price return while SPY is a total return, so the comparison is tilted against the manager by roughly a dividend yield.

Q4 2025
+0.3%
SPY +2.7% -2.3%
2025 YTD(4Q so far)
+10.4%
SPY +17.7% -7.4%
By calendar year
YearEstimatedSPYDifference
2024+31.5%+24.9%+6.6%
2023+11.4%+26.2%-14.8%
20222/4 Q+17.9%+2.3%+15.7%
2021+20.4%+28.7%-8.3%
20203/4 Q+13.1%-1.5%+14.6%
2019+35.1%+31.2%+3.9%
20183/4 Q+9.6%+10.4%-0.8%
2017+34.9%+21.7%+13.2%
2016+2.7%+12.0%-9.3%
2015-1.5%+1.2%-2.7%
20142/4 Q+3.9%+6.1%-2.2%

Years marked n/4 Qare built from fewer than four quarters, and the benchmark shown beside them covers the same partial set — so the difference is like-for-like, but the year is not a full year.